The Ramadan War and the Reconfiguration of Regional and Global Order: Reflections on Geopolitical Developments and Future Scenarios

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AbstractRecent security developments in the Middle East indicate that some conflicts go beyond limited military confrontations and emerge as structurally transformative events in the regional system and even the global order. The Ramadan War can be analyzed within this framework—an event that has not only altered deterrence equations in the region but also revealed signs…

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Fortress Iran: The Anatomy of a Shock-Proof Economy

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Introduction: The Adaptive System and the “Vaccination” of a Sanctioned StateContrary to prevailing forecasts of imminent collapse, the objective reality of the Iranian economy in 2026 reveals a deeply decentralized resilience and a sophisticated capacity for protracted conflict management. Tempered by five decades of systemic crises—from the eight-year war of the 1980s to unprecedented modern…

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The Strait of Hormuz and its impact on oil imports of countries around the world

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Based on the latest data from 2024, countries around the world import approximately 45 million barrels of crude oil per day, with China ranking first at 11.07 million barrels per day (24.6% of total global imports). Following China, the United States imports 6.59 million barrels (13.2%), India 4.84 million barrels (10.8%), South Korea 2.76 million…

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How Could this War End?

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This article is based on a lecture given by Dr. Mansour Kanani, former Scientific Attaché of the Islamic Republic of Iran in Europe, in a webinar entitled “How Could this War End?” Introduction: My Research Approach and Methodology As part of my duties in the position of Scientific Attaché, I consistently monitored scientific institutions active…

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